Projections from the Central Bank of Honduras (BCH) indicate that the Honduran economy will continue to show positive performance throughout 2026. The institution estimates GDP growth between 3.5% and 4%, supported by both domestic and external factors that are expected to maintain momentum despite global economic challenges.
Drivers of growth
One of the most important pillars will remain the flow of family remittances, which are projected to account for more than 25% of GDP. These inflows not only bolster household consumption but also contribute to exchange rate stability and liquidity in the economy. Their sustained growth continues to reinforce the country’s macroeconomic resilience.
The export sector will also play a key role. Traditional agricultural products such as coffee and bananas continue to show strong demand in international markets, while diversification efforts toward other crops and new commercial destinations may provide greater stability to the agro-industrial sector.
Public investment programs, particularly those focused on road infrastructure and energy projects, including renewable energy, are another pillar of expected growth. These initiatives aim not only to stimulate short-term economic activity but also to enhance the country’s competitiveness and create more favorable conditions for attracting private investment.
Outlook for 2026
According to the BCH, with prudent fiscal and monetary policies, Honduras could consolidate sustained economic growth. Key priorities include:
- Diversifying the economy to reduce reliance on remittances and expand the productive base.
- Strengthening private investment through incentives and improvements to the business climate.
- Promoting education and innovation as essential tools for increasing productivity and generating quality employment.
The BCH also announced that it will maintain its current monetary and exchange rate policy strategy in order to “contain inflationary pressures and safeguard the country’s external position.” The institution emphasized that its actions will remain data-driven, adjusting policies according to macroeconomic developments and shifts in international economic policy, while closely monitoring risks that may affect liquidity and financial stability.
